Considerate-Ping
0x6995dff20dd8ebdf1ae1659d5d4bca420e3599f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$974.22
Total PnL
$-412.10
Realised
$-3.79
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
600 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$589.50
$21.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
161 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$157.87
$5.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$91.50
$13.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$83.50
$23.50
- NO
APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.35
$5.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$23.50
$-33.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
40 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?$356.37Aug 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?$96.20Aug 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?$115.00Aug 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?$201.48Aug 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$274.45Aug 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$28.65Aug 15, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$100.00Aug 13, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$100.00Aug 13, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$9.99Aug 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$79.83Aug 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$90.00Aug 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$0.95Aug 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.70Aug 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$4.82Aug 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2.18Aug 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$14.69Aug 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?$42.31Aug 8, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?$776.12Aug 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$36.22Aug 8, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?$277.55Aug 8, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $98.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.