Pesky-Sympathy
0x699ea38fc9e3967f17addd50c44da92179ad3415
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$24.61
Total PnL
$-4.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 10?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.20
$1.20
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?$1.02Jul 9, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$1.02Jul 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?$1.04Jul 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?$1.03Jul 9, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$1.00Jul 9, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.4 released by July 17?$0.00Jul 9, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.00Jul 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by July 17?$1.00Jul 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$1.00Jul 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$1.00Jul 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 15?$1.00Jul 8, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.