Harmful-Display
0x699fe807972af0bca27240c4768cb37fa2f638bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-197.11
Realised
$-7.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET$19.81May 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Knicks$18.95May 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$53.66May 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$103.44May 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$141.57May 19, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$100.99May 19, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$20.18May 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$20.19May 18, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?$72.30May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?$55.51May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$9.17May 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$19.95May 17, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $52.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.