0x69a129cd600674d73e70ca770f0430a0feb64ef6
0x69a129cd600674d73e70ca770f0430a0feb64ef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$64.50
Total PnL
$0.33
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
100%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C or higher on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 23?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -7°C or below on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 49°F or below on January 22?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$3.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 32-33°F on January 23?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 23?$0.00Jan 24, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 22?$0.00Jan 24, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 22?$0.00Jan 24, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$1.01Jan 23, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 31°F or below on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 34-35°F on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or higher on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 41°F or below on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 39°F or below on January 23?$0.00Jan 23, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
34 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.