Hurtful-Cigarette
0x69b6113a5126144a950ff587e48175cabd09ce3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$25.92
Total PnL
$-2.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$15.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.75
$0.01
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
72 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 13, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$15.03Nov 13, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$15.46Nov 13, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$21.41Nov 13, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$23.18Nov 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $10.74Nov 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$15.00Nov 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$15.00Nov 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?$15.00Oct 31, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.20Oct 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.00Oct 30, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$21.00Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $12.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.