Serious-Drinking
0x69ba1c59763eb8feb01f092a001b55597c8defd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$3.40
Total PnL
$-173.81
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
3 shares @ 62.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.40
$1.29
- NO
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.17
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 22?
231 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $128,000 and $130,000 on October 13?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 11?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 9?
103 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-45.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $130,000 on October 14?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $130,000 on October 15?
50 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$5.52Jan 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$17.47Jan 11, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$8.65Jan 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Jan 10, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$30.00Jan 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$4.50Jan 4, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$13.60Jan 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$5.24Jan 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22?$1.05Dec 20, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22?$1.42Dec 20, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$5.24Dec 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$13.56Dec 20, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 22?$1.00Dec 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$2.00Dec 17, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$1.05Dec 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?$1.90Dec 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$2.20Dec 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$14.25Dec 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$13.80Dec 13, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".