Hopeful-Alley
0x69bc28ab25e37d06776169b84f0018606c568e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-10.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.25Oct 1, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$2.00Sep 30, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on September 30?$1.00Sep 30, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Sep 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$1.00Sep 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$1.00Sep 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135K in September?$1.00Sep 22, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$2.86Sep 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 21, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.00Sep 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in September?$1.00Sep 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 21, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 21, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$1.00Sep 21, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Sep 21, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".