Impartial-Glee
0x69c522025272681974da295d35f140ebc8b75727
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-261.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?
2414 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
164 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
160 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
54 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.25
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$5.10Mar 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?$2.00Jan 28, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?$5.00Jan 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?$5.00Jan 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?$5.00Jan 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$5.00Jan 28, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$5.00Jan 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$10.00Jan 20, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$5.00Dec 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.29Nov 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.08Nov 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.29Nov 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$7.00Nov 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$12.35Nov 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by October 31, 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$8.80Oct 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$18.00Oct 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$18.45Oct 9, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 12:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.