Productive-Carpet
0x69c9a2c1bb307a52f0f1fedd4e33d416a73eed1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.82
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-211.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
544 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.82
$-17.72
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
18498 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-850.97
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
10386 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-433.03
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
4372 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
4000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
3247 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
3152 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
2784 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?$15.58Jan 24, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$166.95Jan 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$170.00Jan 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?$39.00Jan 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$38.91Jan 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$680.00Jan 3, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$984.00Dec 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$205.11Dec 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$60.00Dec 18, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$700.00Dec 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$700.00Dec 18, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?$0.00Dec 18, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?$2.60Dec 17, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?$72.00Nov 20, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$50.00Nov 20, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$11.71Nov 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$103.14Nov 20, 18:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Nov 20, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$0.00Nov 18, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $124.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".