0x69ca333f0366b8415907082ce51e276c5cdbb484
0x69ca333f0366b8415907082ce51e276c5cdbb484
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-63.23
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
1316 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
1072 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
412 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-220.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on July 1?
346 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
219 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-46.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
217 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-121.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
194 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-37.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
191 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-89.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.01Jul 14, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.76Jul 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.71Jul 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.05Jul 14, 10:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.10Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$40.35Jul 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$139.50Jul 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$95.77Jul 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$53.47Jul 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$93.90Jul 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$94.71Jul 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$53.64Jul 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$53.89Jul 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$18.37Jul 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 13?$163.95Jul 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$164.05Jul 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$99.80Jul 13, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$49.83Jul 10, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$248.95Jul 10, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $88.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.