Each-Scripture
0x69cd457497bfef1606a5ecadf3b08aff2a900c69
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.98
Realised
$2.76
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET
5042 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 41°F or below on May 5?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
186 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 12, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?$4.18Jun 4, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?$4.16Jun 4, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?$0.01Jun 4, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.03Jun 3, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Jun 3, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Jun 3, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?$2.06Jun 3, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?$4.14Jun 3, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.04Jun 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.05Jun 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.03Jun 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.03Jun 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.16Jun 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.04Jun 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.06Jun 2, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jun 2, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.