Menacing-Popsicle
0x69d2263917bcb7b99b329503ce987c220a017acd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on December 30?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 25?
279 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 26?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 31?
277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 19?
277 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.59
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 26?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 21?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on December 27?
277 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?
275 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
274 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27?$0.00May 1, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 20?$0.00Apr 21, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 30?$0.00Apr 13, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.70 December 15-21?$0.00Mar 31, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 22?$0.00Mar 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?$2.22Jan 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?$56.23Jan 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$2.19Jan 10, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$2.98Jan 10, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$53.11Jan 10, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?$3.29Jan 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.14Jan 10, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 10?$2.22Jan 10, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 10?$2.09Jan 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$0.15Jan 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$50.62Jan 9, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards?$3.41Jan 2, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?$3.33Dec 31, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 31?$2.28Dec 31, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high before 2026?$1.92Dec 31, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.