Optimistic-Theory
0x69d4e5cf122b216a1e4fe8d08b5e7764f4033f2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-743.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2PM ET
1443 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-721.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.22
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
17 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$10.58Jun 2, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?$4.55Apr 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.74Apr 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?$4.93Apr 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?$4.95Apr 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4.92Mar 22, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?$4.60Feb 28, 03:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Feb 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.20Feb 24, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.40Feb 24, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWinter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? $15.03Feb 24, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? $10.07Feb 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$11.12Jan 20, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$1.02Jan 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?$1.03Jan 20, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12?$2.16Jan 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12?$2.06Dec 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 3, 2PM ET$721.70Nov 3, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $31.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.