Playful-Enclave
0x69d65762a0d91c3b7339e5b19fd07f5780bd9fa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-898.91
Realised
$-24.83
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
3055 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-700.07
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1812 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1468 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-21.75
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
721 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.84
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
421 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.77
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.94Jan 31, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.94Jan 31, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.70Jan 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.70Jan 27, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$10.01Jan 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.01Jan 26, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.74Jan 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$1.74Jan 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$10.40Jan 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$10.00Jan 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.40Jan 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$2.46Jan 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$2.46Jan 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$4.99Jan 24, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$5.00Jan 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.99Jan 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$1.53Jan 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.53Jan 24, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$8.31Jan 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$8.31Jan 24, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $49.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.