Previous-Swamp
0x69e6251067ab42e5db357b9d231cebc59a8bc76c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.39
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BANGALORE
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 11?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on July 14?
411 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?
298 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.47Jul 23, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.05Jul 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.07Jul 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.05Jul 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.99Jul 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.01Jul 17, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?$1.01Jul 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.88Jul 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.09Jul 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.65Jul 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.93Jul 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on July 14?$1.05Jul 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win?$1.05Jul 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$0.33Jul 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 12, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 11, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 11, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$0.47Jul 11, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.34Jul 11, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.