Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
0x69f0c154a3412f2b3fa7eb22c6d08e6b5b32fb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$219.79
Realised
$180.29
Win rate
64%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 13?
244 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$243.30
$-0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 13?
210 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$209.60
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?
202 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$201.21
$1.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 13?
105 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$105.11
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 13?
85 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$84.54
$-0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?
85 shares @ 0.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$81.10
$81.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 13?
77 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$76.88
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?
85 shares @ 0.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$55.26
$55.26
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
49 shares @ 0.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.31
$46.31
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?
44 shares @ 0.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.81
$41.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 13?$10.09Jul 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 13?$10.10Jul 13, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?$0.15Jul 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?$7.17Jul 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?$13.85Jul 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 13?$3.90Jul 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 13?$20.44Jul 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 13?$7.17Jul 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?$2.75Jul 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 13?$17.98Jul 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 13?$6.10Jul 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 13?$9.11Jul 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.26Jul 13, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?$3.09Jul 13, 09:32 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?$114.00Jul 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 13?$0.28Jul 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 13?$52.86Jul 13, 09:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?$4.00Jul 13, 09:30 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?$4.00Jul 13, 09:30 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?$4.00Jul 13, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.