Rapid-Twilight
0x69fc1df579485becccd498a7754c82609c83135e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$46.52
Total PnL
$-49.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
40 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.24
$0.06
- YES
Will Powell say "Stagflation" during October press conference?
35 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?
11 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.10Feb 27, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$4.55Jan 30, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference?$7.25Jan 30, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $70?$20.18Jan 30, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$2.15Jan 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$10.00Jan 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$6.18Jan 22, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference?$5.00Jan 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$4.00Jan 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.00Jan 22, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5$5.32Jan 22, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5$5.00Jan 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $70?$20.00Jan 21, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5$5.00Jan 21, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$40.00Jan 21, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$3.45Jan 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$6.52Jan 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$7.06Jan 21, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMCelonis IPO in 2025?$15.50Jan 21, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$3.00Jan 13, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.