Lively-Seeder
0x69fd89f0d1e436e990efba952e22477c9708302f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 4?
50 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 9 or later?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$3.00Jul 21, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump divorce in 2025?$3.12Jul 6, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 4?$9.50Jul 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 9 or later?$1.00Jul 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Jul 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump divorce in 2025?$5.00Jul 3, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?$1.00Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?$5.00Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani arrested before September?$1.00Jul 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?$5.00Jul 3, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".