Impassioned-Alias
0x69fd9692895e7cc82053b32529c3bb109e7eb2f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-57.55
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
10100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of April 20 2026?
8083 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-32.76
- NO
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
6642 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-134.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?
2592 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.00
$-2.59
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 3?
1827 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.94
- YES
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- ELISE MERTENS
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens
1730 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1671 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-141.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?$8.25Jun 26, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?$0.45Jun 26, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?$0.30Jun 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C on June 26?$0.18Jun 26, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C on June 26?$0.19Jun 26, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?$0.10Jun 26, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?$0.03Jun 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?$0.01Jun 26, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?$0.15Jun 26, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 26?$0.02Jun 26, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?$50.00Jun 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoão Félix: 3+ shots$0.03Jun 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoão Félix: 2+ shots$0.03Jun 23, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMDani Olmo: 1+ goals$40.00Jun 21, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMFerrán Torres: 1+ goals$100.00Jun 21, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFerrán Torres: 1+ goals$1.38Jun 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$12.90Jun 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDani Olmo: 1+ goals$24.00Jun 21, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFerrán Torres: 1+ goals$55.62Jun 21, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots$0.10Jun 21, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.