Difficult-Replica
0x6a06a83318ce2dc498426abf32b261f31c702e97
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-97.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Over $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
998 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Over $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
473 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
134 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will "Ronaldo" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
35 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
25 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.46
- NO
Will "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$10.62Feb 13, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.01Feb 13, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$9.19Feb 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Feb 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.00Feb 13, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$3.08Dec 18, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $800M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$4.99Dec 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $600M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$5.00Dec 16, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$5.00Dec 16, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$5.00Dec 16, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "National Guard" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$10.68Dec 9, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$12.40Dec 6, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Dec 5, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$5.00Dec 5, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ronaldo" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?$5.00Dec 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "National Guard" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$10.00Dec 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$10.00Dec 4, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Nov 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$10.00Nov 17, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".