Oval-Agency
0x6a08e073cb860206e77872bb37844f37c9e02f62
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$40.25
Total PnL
$-0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.39
$-0.01
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.02
$-0.02
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.80
$-0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.87
$-0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.73
$-0.01
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.44
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$2.88Jun 21, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 17?$1.00Jun 17, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17?$1.49Jun 17, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17?$1.01Jun 17, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 17?$1.38Jun 17, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?$1.14Jun 17, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 17?$6.31Jun 17, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?$1.14Jun 17, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?$1.18Jun 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?$1.19Jun 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 17?$1.00Jun 17, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 17?$1.38Jun 17, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 17?$1.00Jun 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17?$1.49Jun 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.44Jun 17, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.04Jun 17, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $10.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.