Inferior-Acknowledgment
0x6a09648b1b258387646dbe142f208488264576e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$694.74
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$158.06
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
695 shares @ 4.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$694.74
$661.74
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-13?
17246 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-55.17
- NO
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?
10800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.58
- YES
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-03?
7407 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-32.99
- YES
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-04?
1505 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.52
- YES
Will Italy win?
1406 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-06?
1333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
1209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?
1087 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?
1042 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$34.57Jul 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$155.49Jul 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-15?$183.88Jul 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$412.75Jul 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$309.52Jul 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$205.87Jul 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$51.13Jul 9, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$51.29Jul 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$20.45Jul 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$61.54Jul 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$20.55Jul 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?$15.37Jul 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$35.97Jul 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$50.91May 30, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$25.59May 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-05-22?$25.64May 22, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$454.55May 18, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?$51.33May 15, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?$25.00May 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?$10.14May 10, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $54.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.