Sweaty-Cria
0x6a197c6d43b3cac6945e64482b482b3cd060d9ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-763.24
Realised
$58.97
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
522 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
417 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
335 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
271 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-164.90
- NAILONG
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments vs NaiLong (BO1)
168 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
160 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-118.91
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
118 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
115 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-65.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$116.14Jan 31, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$114.98Jan 31, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$26.10Jan 30, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$20.00Jan 30, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.2KJan 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.1KJan 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.2KJan 30, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$34.14Jan 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.1KJan 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.1KJan 30, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$397.22Jan 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$796.80Jan 30, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$796.62Jan 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$795.82Jan 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$796.62Jan 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$1.45Jan 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$0.16Jan 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$797.47Jan 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$995.00Jan 30, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$995.51Jan 30, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $510.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.