Showy-Peacoat
0x6a202ff098d98a3f247effb1b2cd37c1e62a242c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-39.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.00 March 2-8?
418 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 2-8?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
118 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Mar 7, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.24Mar 7, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Mar 7, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 March 2-8?$1.00Mar 7, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$1.00Mar 7, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$3.00Mar 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.00Mar 7, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.