Happy-Go-Lucky-Pith
0x6a2d13453812e1cab5ee7ca96346fe0a61fe9375
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$92.21
Total PnL
$-968.59
Realised
$4.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3185 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.10
$-14.97
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
1691 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.22
$-33.92
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-1.74
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
91 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.91
$0.14
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
13000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-80.38
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
2100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1000 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-214.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
700 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-120.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$0.19Jun 4, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$2.37Jun 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$0.43Jun 3, 18:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$29.08Jun 1, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$32.00Jun 1, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 1, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$25.20Jun 1, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.82May 31, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.15May 31, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$8.75May 31, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$6.28May 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.24May 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.25May 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO dissolves before 2027?$8.20May 31, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?$1.00May 29, 20:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".