Watchful-Blight
0x6a404f060ab084322c2a209fb3d4eb328055599e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.18
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$110.21
Win rate
36%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
305 shares @ 5.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.82
$-12.18
- YES
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
230 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.33
$0.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
202 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
238 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
244 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.74
$-1.26
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYReal Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5$2.06May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5$2.05May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)$2.06May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)$2.05May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)$2.06May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUdinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 5.5$2.06May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: US Cremonese (-2.5)$1.03May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLevante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 0.5$2.06May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)$2.06May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 0.5$1.03May 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5$2.06May 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$2.05May 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 5.5$1.03May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5$3.08May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)$2.06May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)$2.06May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5$2.06May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)$2.06May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)$2.06May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 0.5$1.03May 17, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".