Deficient-Pineapple
0x6a43e55b5867f80a6c476242ca1667eb03aaa472
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$51.75
Total PnL
$-336.14
Realised
$-40.40
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?
50 shares @ 32.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$19.50
$3.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?
40 shares @ 31.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$13.60
$0.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10?
25 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$11.00
$2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?
40 shares @ 11.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.20
$0.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?
45 shares @ 12.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.45
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 5?
80 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
80 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-37.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?
70 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-46.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 3?
50 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 21?
50 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?$1.00Aug 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$0.15Aug 6, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$4.65Aug 6, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10?$8.50Aug 6, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$1.40Aug 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$3.20Aug 6, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?$1.10Aug 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?$1.20Aug 6, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$1.60Aug 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?$1.38Aug 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 10?$1.73Aug 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?$1.45Aug 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?$2.90Aug 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?$2.90Aug 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?$0.90Aug 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?$0.04Aug 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?$1.46Aug 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?$1.20Aug 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 9?$3.50Aug 5, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?$1.80Aug 5, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.