Frozen-Bottom
0x6a4cc02b6c7b43bb504fa15655f7e371a44e8a80
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-18.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on November 24?
660 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
403 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
101 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$1.22Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?$43.04Jun 10, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$20.91Jun 10, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$121.12Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9?$121.01Jun 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$20.60Jun 9, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$2.20Jun 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?$43.00Jun 9, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.00Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.06Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.00Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$174.17Jun 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.22Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $29.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.