0x6a53986c9b458d6b314397f8085c4350d1d690d9
0x6a53986c9b458d6b314397f8085c4350d1d690d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.18
Total PnL
$-15.05
Realised
$-14.74
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$134.64Jun 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$133.79Jun 24, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$83.58Jun 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$102.60Jun 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$266.87Jun 15, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$12.20Jun 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$47.25Jun 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5$239.73Jun 15, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$69.63Jun 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$3.58Jun 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$4.00Jun 13, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$3.99Jun 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$2.99Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$39.96Jun 13, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$4.83Jun 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$5.99Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $72.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.