Gentle-Conversion
0x6a58db3342e1bfbd6e5c2c16349e6e7e43a614c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.54
Realised
$139.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
161 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
OpenSea airdrop before April?
155 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.21
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
144 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-70.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?
44 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.96Jul 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.48Jul 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.47Jul 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $230.66Oct 9, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $99.13Oct 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $100.00Oct 3, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$50.10Sep 23, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$20.00Sep 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$10.00Sep 23, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$20.00Sep 23, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$89.46Sep 22, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$55.00Sep 22, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 21?$15.00Sep 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on September 21?$645.64Sep 21, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 21?$508.69Sep 21, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$27.21Feb 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$20.00Jan 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$10.00Jan 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$10.00Dec 18, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$67.16Dec 5, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $79.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.