Defensive-Nose
0x6a59ff4d45c678ed1457acc616172c96a77b72cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.83
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
83 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.20
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.0% and 2.3%?
64 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-17.22
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
38 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.0% and 2.3%?$17.22Feb 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.22Feb 25, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.27Feb 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.88Feb 24, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$8.39Dec 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$13.20Nov 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$13.20Nov 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$13.39Nov 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$4.46Nov 8, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$8.93Nov 8, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$25.34Nov 6, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 6, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 5, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$20.00Nov 3, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$40.00Nov 3, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.96Nov 3, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.