Bowed-Stop
0x6a6f958ca22c3dd69ea8012ff6432a3691842d31
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$61.33
Total PnL
$-51.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
AfD banned in 2025?
31 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.99
$0.99
- NO
Von der Leyen out in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.57
$0.57
- NO
GTA VI released in 2025?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.84
$-2.16
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
66 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
4 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out in 2025?$10.00Aug 23, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?$10.00Aug 23, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAfD banned in 2025?$30.00Aug 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?$4.00Aug 23, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?$20.70Aug 23, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$22.83Aug 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$5.00Jul 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?$20.00May 18, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win Eurovision 2025?$4.44May 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00May 18, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$1.35May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?$0.07May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2025?$0.02May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$1.62May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 17, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2025?$0.07May 17, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 21:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.