Scratchy-Posterior
0x6a72dfe9e6c4cdb3c7ce3bc2b20a67788c66f81d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.8K
Realised
$30.0K
Win rate
84%
88 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?
16335 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.72
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
10040 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-858.65
- YES
Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will KrF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will R win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9887 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on August 31?
9576 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-858.01
- YES
Will SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
9485 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 88 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
88 closed markets, 84% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 88 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.