Astonishing-Rod
0x6a77aca67df87658a5d6992a4c58a63544dc8f2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$10.70
Total PnL
$-3.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$1.03Jan 4, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.33Jan 4, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.25Dec 23, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?$1.08Oct 28, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?$1.13Oct 28, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$1.25Oct 28, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMSPD wins 14% or more of vote in Czech election?$1.35Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.41Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.45Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?$1.49Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$1.67Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$2.04Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?$2.50Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?$4.35Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD get between 7% and 10% of the vote in the Czech election?$5.00Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?$7.00Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$7.69Oct 24, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$0.00Oct 24, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMStarostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?$0.00Oct 24, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMPirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?$0.00Oct 24, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.