Organic-Manufacturing
0x6a7caf305e0c8c5875cda386694e85b0f6ed3216
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$36.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
276854 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
62971 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-62.97
- NO
Will Mamdani say "Wall Street" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
78 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Mamdani say "Budget" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Mamdani say "Commissioner" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
29 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mamdani say "DOJ" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
22 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$351.91Mar 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$10.00Mar 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$17.55Mar 10, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.20Mar 10, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.16Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.09Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.08Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$6.52Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.08Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.10Mar 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.05Mar 10, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$21.15Mar 10, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.01Mar 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$34.45Mar 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$43.74Mar 10, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $37.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".