Royal-Initialize
0x6a8bd5e3854e980a2c5adcbee7dbe6e1f1fba06f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.28
Total PnL
$-12.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
92 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$92.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 25?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 12?
570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?
534 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $260 on October 17?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 24?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- TULSA
Tulsa vs. East Carolina
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$92.01Jun 6, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?$2.14Jun 6, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$94.09Jun 6, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$94.01May 27, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$94.19May 27, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$94.01May 22, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$94.09May 22, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$94.00May 17, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$1.10May 17, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.09May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.00May 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$1.10May 12, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$94.09May 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$94.01May 7, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$93.09May 7, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$93.01May 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?$93.09May 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 26?$93.00Apr 26, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$93.09Apr 26, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$93.00Apr 20, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $80.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.