Teeming-Biplane
0x6a8d1709bfb718d8555d315a983c4816278350f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$193.66
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 29?
728 shares @ 3.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$101.88
$79.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29?
662 shares @ 10.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$43.05
$-24.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?
1211 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$42.38
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?
728 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.46
$-62.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 28?
1781 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.89
$-44.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 30?
26833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-67.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 27?
20177 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-70.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on June 1?
16687 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 29?
8174 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-67.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?
8039 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-67.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.15Jul 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?$7.75Jul 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$30.00Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?$0.36Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.31Jul 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30?$0.20Jul 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.91Jul 28, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.68Jul 28, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.29Jul 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$3.54Jul 28, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.72Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.60Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?$0.63Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?$3.40Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?$3.35Jul 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?$4.40Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 30?$4.43Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?$0.43Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?$0.41Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?$0.33Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.