Ignorant-Vogue
0x6aa2c1628bf36446c8b18e0604772c8e72617ff9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 21?
225 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?
208 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 30?
191 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
179 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1?
139 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 30?
105 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?
92 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
85 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?
79 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
75 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$78.89Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$0.10Jul 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$76.19Jul 20, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 28?$86.36Jun 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 28?$82.99Jun 27, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$5.55Jun 4, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 1?$2.47Jun 1, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$1.12May 31, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?$5.11May 29, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$85.59May 24, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 May 18-24?$2.14May 24, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$0.11May 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$82.83May 23, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$11.57May 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$1.60May 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $510 Week of March 30 2026?$33.08May 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$59.02May 10, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 26?$0.00May 1, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Apr 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$57.72Apr 18, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $26.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.