0x6ab12dd64c81ec16d597940a1af733a97bd72a73
0x6ab12dd64c81ec16d597940a1af733a97bd72a73
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$809.98
Total PnL
$9.51
Realised
$-15.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?
810 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$809.98
$267.10
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
500 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
200 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?
93 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$20.00Apr 10, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 10, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.29Feb 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$34.55Feb 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.44Feb 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$58.47Feb 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$18.22Feb 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$66.00Feb 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$66.00Feb 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.28Feb 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$127.72Feb 11, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$148.90Feb 11, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$65.52Jan 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$53.93Jan 20, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$5.78Jan 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$5.40Jan 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$780.00Dec 29, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$100.00Dec 29, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $56.49Dec 29, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $62.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 18:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 12:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.