Rundown-Chalet
0x6ab5aad0242f885c6bb0d59899d1a9edf4357fde
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-759.53
Win rate
5%
179 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
465 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-123.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?
462 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-292.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
336 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-111.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
260 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
199 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-103.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
194 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
120 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
119 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.12Aug 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.02Aug 19, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.26Aug 19, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.07Aug 19, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.18Aug 19, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.01Aug 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.34Aug 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.03Aug 19, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.01Aug 18, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.35Aug 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.03Aug 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.14Aug 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$5.80Aug 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.07Aug 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$4.09Aug 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$3.63Aug 17, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$4.08Aug 17, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$4.28Aug 17, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 179 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
179 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 179 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.