Some-Watcher
0x6abb1d5247de1bc69b8cbf7be1a44dbbf932718f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-178.49
Realised
$6.95
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on May 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 5?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 5?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -3°C or below on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on May 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 11°C or below on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on April 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?$0.94Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?$0.99Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 16?$0.99Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 16?$1.00Jun 19, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?$5.00Jun 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?$4.99Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?$4.99Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?$4.99Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 17?$4.99Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?$4.99Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 17?$6.78Jun 17, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 16?$3.09Jun 17, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 16?$5.00Jun 17, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?$5.00Jun 17, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 16?$5.00Jun 17, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?$5.00Jun 16, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.