0x6ac266888067f6096950b7ef32e9d2b1ee974e63
0x6ac266888067f6096950b7ef32e9d2b1ee974e63
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$109.69
Total PnL
$3.43
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.63
$-0.38
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.52
$-0.21
- NO
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.06
$1.06
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$7.75
$2.75
- ENDLESS JOURNEY
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$7.57
$-0.43
- ENDLESS JOURNEY
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winner
14 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$7.14
$-0.86
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.92
$1.92
- NO
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.49
$1.49
- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.51
$-1.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C$8.04Jun 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Endless Journey - Map 1 Winner$8.11Jun 26, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$10.00Jun 26, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.26Jun 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.20Jun 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.25Jun 25, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$1.12Jun 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.19Jun 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.11Jun 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$0.78Jun 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 24, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 24, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A$8.00Jun 24, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski$14.71Jun 24, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.