Past-Total
0x6ac37a39613e2b1c6159027ddae795428d07c010
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-422.44
Realised
$26.53
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?
980 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-49.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 2?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
140 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.25
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
76 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?
70 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?$1.02Mar 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?$16.60Mar 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?$1.00Mar 14, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?$6.60Mar 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$3.07Mar 3, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$4.73Mar 3, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.26Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.50Mar 3, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.