Crisp-Photographer
0x6ac7062e35ee83c752899225ccea45406c03aabb
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$13.5K
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$-158.47
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
28939 shares @ 18.4¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.0K
$3.6K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3280 shares @ 87.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$261.81
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1458 shares @ 91.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$88.41
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.01
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
12544 shares @ 85.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.7K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
8000 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
3008 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
3000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
500 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-345.99
- YES
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
220 shares @ 91.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$69.17Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.75Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$25.57Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$9.50Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$30.00Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$6.14Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.19Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$6.38Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$6.85Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$13.43Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.77Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.85Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$10.23Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$58.25Jul 21, 09:39 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$28.38Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.1KJul 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$52.04Jul 20, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.60Jul 20, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$130.37Jul 20, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $304.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.