Quixotic-Carp
0x6acd864c3fb89b8d550c6c48fed64643da363974
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.39
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.05
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.03
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$1.01Feb 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.20Feb 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.10Feb 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.04Feb 28, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?$1.03Feb 28, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.04Feb 28, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benicio del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.10Feb 28, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.02Jan 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?$1.01Jan 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.02Jan 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.01Jan 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.03Jan 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.02Jan 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benicio del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.03Dec 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.02Dec 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 31, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$1.11Dec 31, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.12Dec 31, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.01Dec 31, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$1.10Nov 30, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $37.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.