Immaculate-Hiking
0x6ae05583420fcccb2b1777a5810a7bc6d08f8688
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$42.52
Realised
$56.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 25?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?
6 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$14.45Aug 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$3.00Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$90.81Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?$30.00Jul 26, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?$10.45Jul 26, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 26?$16.39Jul 26, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$11.51Jul 26, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$25.71Jul 26, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutet$41.67Jul 26, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 26?$10.68Jul 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$20.00Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 25?$1.00Jul 25, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 26?$10.00Jul 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 26?$10.00Jul 25, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutet$5.00Jul 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?$10.00Jul 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $16.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.