Scientific-Ideal
0x6af68466ed24c0d3e515fa4dab6fd1898dff296e
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$328.53
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$287.86
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
738 shares @ 62.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$328.53
$-129.47
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?
5800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
1500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.12
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
599 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?
448 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?
367 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5
358 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?
349 shares @ 85.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?
329 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5$5.25Jul 19, 19:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of July 13 2026?$225.02Jul 17, 23:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$195.80Jul 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of July 13 2026?$200.89Jul 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$62.82Jul 16, 12:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?$2.14Jul 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?$21.18Jul 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$103.64Jul 15, 19:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?$128.38Jul 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$38.87Jul 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.81Jul 14, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.50Jul 14, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $86.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.