Shocked-Pendulum
0x6b0035c7b772bb725a736bf9d461c27ad5a8a884
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-240.26
Realised
$-0.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Bianca Mugyenyi win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tony McQuail win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
461 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.76Jul 8, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Apr 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Apr 26, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.44Apr 26, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.73Apr 26, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.28Apr 26, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$9.13Apr 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.00Apr 7, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$2.00Apr 7, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$2.00Apr 5, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?$3.19Apr 5, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Magic$3.46Apr 5, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$5.19Apr 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.