0x6b0574123291800653ce1fc343b82fccc8f6c3f2
0x6b0574123291800653ce1fc343b82fccc8f6c3f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$16.51
Total PnL
$-2.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.49
$1.29
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.95
$0.75
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.69
$0.49
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.58
$0.38
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 10 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.17
$-0.03
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.04
$-0.17
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.35
$-1.85
- YES
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.12
$-2.08
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.12
$-1.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.99Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.75Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 10 2026?$2.25Aug 10, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$2.20Aug 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?$2.20Aug 9, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?$0.00Aug 9, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$2.27Aug 8, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$2.20Aug 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.37Aug 8, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?$2.26Aug 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?$2.25Aug 7, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.93Aug 6, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$5.37Aug 6, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026?$5.95Aug 6, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?$6.11Aug 6, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.25Aug 5, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?$2.26Aug 5, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2.20Aug 4, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.