Minor-Trapdoor
0x6b085c38e1edc28ee6ccf8e71a5b6151c008cf2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$12.66
Total PnL
$-62.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?
14 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.66
$-0.64
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?
15 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 15?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 19?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 60°F or higher on April 16?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on April 18?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 15?
14 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$21.00Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$32.00Jun 26, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$31.91Jun 26, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$20.98Jun 25, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$24.00Jun 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$23.98Jun 18, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$34.00Jun 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$33.97Jun 17, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.08May 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.00May 29, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$12.95Apr 21, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 20?$9.99Apr 21, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 20?$10.99Apr 21, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on April 20?$11.99Apr 21, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 19?$9.99Apr 20, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 20?$9.99Apr 20, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 19?$10.99Apr 20, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 19?$14.00Apr 20, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 19?$14.98Apr 20, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 20?$0.11Apr 20, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.